Realized Spot vs. Expected Inference Price (E[Y]) & Scenario Envelope
Click node to inspect snapshotProbability Ratio (Bull/Bear) & Forecast Accuracy %
Edge Calibration
Forward Probability Distribution
24H–72H Scenario Tree & Expected Value
Why This Inference Price (Signal -> Value Derivation)
Self-Correcting Feedback Loop
Posterior Audit: Checking Prior Inferences vs. Realized Price
Residual Error Diagnosis & Bayesian Weight Adjustment